On October 7, 2026, the Federal Trade Commission and the U.S. Department of Agriculture opened a joint request for information into the market for agricultural equipment, asking farmers, independent repair shops, and even employees of the manufacturers themselves to describe repair restrictions, contract terms, and retaliation. The public comment window runs through December 7, 2026. It is the most direct federal probe of the repair economy in years, and it arrived just months after the FTC's July 2026 settlement, joined by five states, that required John Deere to give farmers and independent technicians the same repair tools and software access as authorized dealers.

The repair movement has every reason to celebrate. The European Union requires manufacturers to supply key spare parts for years after a product is discontinued. Quebec has made the short-lived appliance a legal problem. Search interest in the phrase "repairable phone" rose 124 percent over six months, according to search-trend data reported by RisingTrends in October 2026, while the refurbished marketplace Back Market draws a reported 550,000 monthly searches. But notice where the celebration ends and the real fight begins. The battle for the toolbox is mostly won. The battle for the code inside the toolbox has barely started.

The settlement solved the easy half

The Deere settlement did something genuinely important: it forced open the physical side of repair, the manuals, the diagnostic tools, the parts catalogs that dealers had hoarded. That is the hardware war, and the hardware war is winnable with laws that say parts and documents must be sold to everyone on equal terms. The problem is that the restrictions simply moved. The remaining choke points are not in the service manual. They are in the firmware.

Take parts pairing, the practice of locking a replacement component to a device's serial number so it refuses to work until the manufacturer authorizes it over a network. Or the activation rituals that only dealer software can perform. Or the ominous warning messages that appear after an independent repair, designed less to inform the user than to frighten them back into the authorized channel. South Africa's Competition Commission named exactly these practices in its right-to-repair guidelines finalized in October 2026, warning that software locks on replacement parts and warnings displayed after independent repairs will be treated as indirect restrictions on spare parts access and prioritized for investigation. The pattern is unmistakable: manufacturers complied with the letter of repair law on the physical side and relocated the monopoly into code.

"Security" is a real concern, and a convenient one

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To be fair, some software locks exist for legitimate reasons. Anti-theft mechanisms, battery management systems, and authentication hardware can genuinely make a device safer, and a clumsy mandate that outlawed them would make everyone worse off. South Africa's guidelines say this explicitly, carving out components tied directly to security or safety, while insisting that manufacturers apply those controls objectively and give accredited independent repairers access on terms no worse than the dealers get. That is the honest version of the security argument.

The dishonest version is the blanket. When every screen, sensor, and battery in a product is paired by default, "security" stops describing an engineering choice and starts describing a business model. Here is the test I would apply, and the one regulators seem to be converging on: can an accredited independent shop obtain the same activation, on the same terms, in the same timeframe, as the authorized dealer? If yes, the lock is security. If no, it is market allocation wearing a security costume.

A lock you cannot ask anyone but the manufacturer to open is not a feature. It is a landlord, and your ownership is the tenancy.

What winning would actually look like

The repair economy, in one chart

Signals that shoppers now buy for longevity, as reported in October 2026.

"Repairable phone" searches
+124% in 6 months
Back Market monthly searches
550,000 (+22% YoY)
Framework laptop searches
74,000/quarter
EU spare-parts requirement
7 years
FTC/USDA comment window
Open to Dec. 7, 2026

Note: For illustrative purposes only.

Winning is not a shelf of spare parts. Winning is parity of authorization: the same diagnostic access, the same pairing approvals, the same turnaround, for an independent shop as for the dealer's service bay. The European approach writes multi-year parts supply and facilitated pairing activations into binding statute. The South African approach treats software locks as potential violations of competition law, with the Competition Tribunal required to weigh official guidelines when assessing penalties. The American approach, for now, is the FTC and USDA asking pointed questions and collecting stories until December 7.

None of these are fast, and that is worth saying plainly. Competition enforcement is case by case. Inquiries do not always become rules. But the market is doing quiet work alongside the law. Shoppers are increasingly buying for longevity rather than specs: the modular Framework laptop has become the poster child for upgradeable design, certified-refurbished marketplaces have removed the stigma from buying used, and search demand keeps climbing for devices people can fix. Regulators notice demand signals. Manufacturers notice them too, which is why the smart ones are already competing on repairability instead of fighting it.

Ownership means the right to authorize the fix

Stacked newspapers representing the right-to-repair debate in the press
The right-to-repair fight has moved from the toolbox to the firmware. (Photo: Calder Brief)

Strip the policy language away and the principle is simple. You bought the thing. The right to decide who fixes it, the dealer, the neighborhood shop, or you at the kitchen table, belongs to you. A product that requires the manufacturer's permission to repair is not really sold. It is licensed, like software, with the purchase price as the first subscription payment. The repair movement started with farmers and tractors because a broken machine during harvest is a vivid injustice, but the principle scales to phones, appliances, and medical devices alike. For the wider picture, see your right to repair, state by state and the federal probe into locked tractors.

There are honest caveats, and the argument would be dishonest without them. Repair mandates impose real costs: support lines to staff, parts inventories to maintain, documentation to write. Those costs land somewhere, often in the sticker price. And some locks genuinely deter theft and counterfeiting. The demand here is not for free repairs or a world without locks. It is for a neutral playing field: if the manufacturer can authorize the fix, an accredited independent must be able to as well, on the same terms.

So here is the modest, practical conclusion. If a software lock has ever kept you from fixing something you own, the FTC and USDA are asking to hear about it, with specifics, until December 7, 2026. Stick to what you personally experienced. The hardware war was won by people who refused to accept that a toolbox could be illegal. The software war will be won by people who refuse to accept that a permission server can own their tractor. As of this writing, the locks are still winning. They should not be.